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Will we see meatless burgers in every Burger King by the end of 2020?
Burger King has been running trials this year on meatless burgers, and it has been so successful that it could be launched to all branches in the US by the end of the year. More high-quality meat alternatives are entering the market such as artificial meat or better plant-based meat and a need for more sustainable practices to attain meat, will this signal a tipping point for meat alternatives?
Will by 2020 Burger King introduce a large scale introduction of their vegan burger? It does not need to be absolutely every branch but there must be a significant amount (5000+) of franchises that have a meatless burger on their menus by December 31, 2020.
Article about Burger King: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2019/4/29/…
Meat Alternatives Article (BBC): https://www.bbc.com/news/world-47816210
Article on Cell-based Seafood Startup secured $4.6 Million in Funding: https://www.fooddive.com/news/cell-based-shri…
Metaculus help: Predicting
Predictions are the heart of Metaculus. Predicting is how you contribute to the wisdom of the crowd, and how you earn points and build up your personal Metaculus track record.
The basics of predicting are very simple: move the slider to best match the likelihood of the outcome, and click predict. You can predict as often as you want, and you're encouraged to change your mind when new information becomes available. With tachyons you'll even be able to go back in time and backdate your prediction to maximize your points.
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Metaculus help: Community Stats
Use the community stats to get a better sense of the community consensus (or lack thereof) for this question. Sometimes people have wildly different ideas about the likely outcomes, and sometimes people are in close agreement. There are even times when the community seems very certain of uncertainty, like when everyone agrees that event is only 50% likely to happen.
When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.