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Will at least 50% of Airlines deploy biometrics scanners by January 2020?
In a recent survey by SITA, it is estimated that over 63% of airlines are investing in biometric scanners to be deployed by 2020 either to quicken the boarding process of passengers and immigration services.
One of the key driving forces appears to be that the technology is becoming more accurate and reliable, with an estimated 1 in every 25 passengers needing to be manually inspected. Most scanners so far will require still some level of interaction with a console, however, as the governments continue to digitize their processes and a large sum of the data will be collected in the next few years. We may see a future with almost contactless procedures. What are your predictions of the rate in which we adopt biometric scanners in airports?
Metaculus help: Predicting
Predictions are the heart of Metaculus. Predicting is how you contribute to the wisdom of the crowd, and how you earn points and build up your personal Metaculus track record.
The basics of predicting are very simple: move the slider to best match the likelihood of the outcome, and click predict. You can predict as often as you want, and you're encouraged to change your mind when new information becomes available. With tachyons you'll even be able to go back in time and backdate your prediction to maximize your points.
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Metaculus help: Community Stats
Use the community stats to get a better sense of the community consensus (or lack thereof) for this question. Sometimes people have wildly different ideas about the likely outcomes, and sometimes people are in close agreement. There are even times when the community seems very certain of uncertainty, like when everyone agrees that event is only 50% likely to happen.
When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.