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Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?
Scientists are beginning to target aging itself as a pathology, viewing it as a root cause to many age-related problems like diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and Alzheimer's. The World Health Organization (WHO) is being pushed by many drug developers to classify aging as a disease, which would allow pharmaceuticals to produce commercialized medication that specifically targets the process, and in turn treating all the pathology, of aging.
A change like this would take place in the final release of ICD-11 (International Classification of Diseases, 11th revision), which will be released by WHO by 2018. The change in classification would have an imact in aging research and drugs that are currently in trial or under review, allowing for a non-ambiguous approach to treating aging itself as a condition. For example, the drug Metformin, whose marketed intent is to treat type II diabetes but shown to increase longevity in animal studies, would gain traction with the FDA to officially classify it as an aging treatment.
Will WHO recognize ageing as a disease in ICD-11?
This question resolves in the affirmative if the ICD-11 carries a health code for the biological process of ageing or senescence by December 31, 2018.
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The basics of predicting are very simple: move the slider to best match the likelihood of the outcome, and click predict. You can predict as often as you want, and you're encouraged to change your mind when new information becomes available. With tachyons you'll even be able to go back in time and backdate your prediction to maximize your points.
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When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.